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Building Science

Calculating Heating Degree Days

A lot of people know the number of HDD for their location — but where does that number come from?

Heating degree days are a combination of temperature and time.
Image Credit: Ryan Rigby / Flickr.com
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Heating degree days are a combination of temperature and time.
Image Credit: Ryan Rigby / Flickr.com
Equation 1: Rate of heat flow
Image Credit: Energy Vanguard
Equation 2: Quantity of heat flow
Image Credit: Energy Vanguard
Equation 3: Quantity of heat flow using heating degree days
Image Credit: Energy Vanguard
Heating degree days for Atlanta, 2007-2014. The data are from DegreeDays.net.
Image Credit: Energy Vanguard

Let’s say you did some work on your home to make it more energy-efficient: air sealing, more attic insulation, and a duct system retrofit. You’ve got your energy bills for 12 months before and 12 months after you did the work, and now you want to see how much energy you saved. So you sit down with all 24 months worth of utility bills, convert everything to a common unit if you use more than one type of fuel, and take a look at the numbers.

Unless, however, you take into account another important factor, you may be led to incorrect conclusions.

You can’t simply compare the total amount of energy you used in the year before and the year after you made the energy improvements. As it turns out, weather changes from year to year, so an abnormally warm winter before the improvements followed by a really cold winter after the work might cause your home to use even more energy than before. But if you adjust for the difference in weather, you should be able to see the effects of the increased energy efficiency.

That’s where heating degree days and, to a lesser extent, cooling degree days come in.

What is a degree day?

A degree day is a combination of time and temperature difference (ΔT). The basic idea behind it is to give you an indication of how much heating or cooling a building might need. (Emphasis on the “might” there.) Degree days are just an estimate of heating and cooling needs, and we’ll look at some of the reasons why you need to keep them in the proper perspective.

A good starting place is the simplified† equation for heat flow shown as Equation 1 (see Image #2, below)

Now, this equation actually give you the rate of heat flow. In the Imperial system of units that we use here in the U.S., the result will be in BTU/hour. So if we multiply that rate by the time period, as shown in Equation 2 (see Image #3, below), we end up with the quantity of heat flow in BTU.

Yeah, I know both equations here use the same variable, Q, for rate of heat flow and quantity of heat flow. The first equation will usually have a dot over the Q in physics or engineering books, but let’s gloss over that and get to the main point here.

If we take the (ΔT x t) factor at the end of the second equation and use an appropriate base temperature, we can call the combination degree days. For example, in the U.S. we typically use a base temperature of 65°F when calculating heating degree days. (More about that in Part 2 of this series on degree days.) If the temperature stays constant at 64°F for one full day, that would give us one heating degree day (HDD). If the temperature is 60°F for a full day, we get 5 HDD.

Got it? It’s just the difference between the outdoor temperature and the base temperature multiplied by the time it’s at that temperature. Many sources of degree days use the mean daily temperature. Instead of being a constant 64°F or 60°F above, you get the same result if the mean temperature for a day is 64°F or 60°F.

Using mean hourly temperatures would be a better approach. Using mean minutely (is that a word?) temperatures would get you even closer. (If you’ve had some calculus, you know where this is headed, right?) The smaller you can make those time intervals, the more accurate will be your result for degree days. (OK, calculus lovers, we’re not going all the way there. Sorry. It is left as an exercise for the reader to do a Riemann sum with your temperature data and limit the size of the intervals to zero yourself.)

When we combine ΔT and t like that, we can substitute degree days (either HDD, CDD, or total DD) into the equation. The result is Equation 3 below. This is the form of the equation I used in my recent article on the diminishing returns of adding more insulation.

What are degree days good for?

I’ve already mentioned one of the uses of degree days, but let’s go ahead and make a list here.

  • Normalizing energy use for changes in weather. This is what I referred to above and will illustrate below. If you make energy improvements to your home, degree days help you discover the real effect of the improvements.
  • Comparing one climate to another. Degree days are one important measure. Design temperatures are another.
  • Comparing the energy efficiency of one home to another home in a different climate. Just as you can normalize to weather changes in one location, you can get a feel for differences in the energy efficiency of homes in different climates.

Finding degree days

My favorite site for generating degree days is DegreeDays.net. It allows you to generate degree days for whatever base temperature you want to use. (See a discussion of that issue in Part 2 of this series.) I’ve been tracking heating degree days for Atlanta with data from DegreeDays.net for the previous seven years, and you can see my graph below.

You can find degree days in other places as well.The Weather Underground website has tons of weather data, including degree days. Go to their page called Historical Weather and enter your location and the date. Once you get the data, you can select different time frames to see more than one day at a time.

I prefer DegreeDays.net because they base their calculations on more than just the average daily temperature. (I’ll explain further in Part 2.) It’s also easier to get what you want if what you want is degree days.

Using degree days

Let’s say that hypothetical of yours is in Atlanta, and you did the work in the summer of 2013. Then you download my spreadsheet and find your total energy usage for those two years. Let’s keep it simple here and just look at the effect on winter heating bills. Here are the numbers for November through March of the pre- and post-improvement years:

Year             kWh
2012-13 43,328 kWh
2013-14 40,987 kWh

The reduction in energy consumption is the difference between the two numbers, or 2,341 kWh. At $0.12/kWh, the savings amounts to about $281 per year. Actually, it’s even worse than it first appears because a good chunk of those kilowatt-hours were actually from the natural gas used, and gas is really cheap these days. That’ll push the annual savings down below $200, making the return-on-investment not so appealing. (Of course, the actual ROI includes more than a financial return. With a good home performance retrofit, your home is more comfortable and healthful, too.)

We still need to account for the change in weather from one year to the next, though. If we expand the table to include heating degree days and some calculations based on it, we get this:

Year          kWh    % Change   HDD   kWh/HDD    % Change    Normalized kWh
2012-13 43,328  —  2,775 15.61  46,518
2013-14 40,987  -5.4%  3,372 12.16  -22.1%  36,237

Here’s where the power of normalization shines. If you look just at the reduction in kilowatt-hours, it looks like a 5.4% reduction. When we normalize for the colder winter post-improvement, though, you can see that we really reduced the consumption by 22.1%.

That works in the other direction as well. If the post-improvement weather is milder than what you had before, you may think you got a bigger benefit than you really did if you look only at the change in consumption without normalizing to degree days.

It’s not a unit of time

One point of confusion for many people is that “degree days” sounds like a unit of time. It’s not. That’s why we can have 5 heating degree days in one day and well more than 365 degree days in a year. Atlanta, Georgia has about 3,000 heating degree days each year (65° F base temperature).

It’s not a unit of time. It’s a combination of time and temperature: ΔT x t.

Complicating factors

In Part 2 of this series, we’ll go further into the discussion of the base temperature and some other complicating factors. If you want to read ahead, check out the the article, Degree Days – Handle with Care!, on the Energy Lens website.

Despite the complicating factors and limitations, degree days are quite a useful invention. Whether you’re a homeowner just trying to understand your energy bills or a home energy pro who wants to know everything, it can be helpful to understand how they’re calculated and what they do.

Allison Bailes of Decatur, Georgia, is a speaker, writer, energy consultant, RESNET-certified trainer, and the author of the Energy Vanguard Blog. Follow him on Twitter at @EnergyVanguard.

Footnote

† To do heat flow right, you’ve got to use the full-blown partial differential equation (shown below) because the variables above actually vary over a smaller scale than a whole assembly. The hygrothermal modeling tool, WUFI, solves the full equation numerically and gives you a lot of power to manipulate the inputs…and a lot of opportunities to get screwy answers if you don’t know what you’re doing. The simplified form above is fine for a lot of things.

2 Comments

  1. charlie_sullivan | | #1

    finer time steps aren't always better
    Great introduction, and I look forward to part 2. I do have one quibble: finer time steps isn't always better. If you've got a building with enough thermal mass that it takes 10 hours before it "notices" that it got cold out, a 5 hour cold spell won't require the heat to kick on, as long as the average temperature that day was above the base temperature.

    Certainly a full model with the thermal mass dynamics and detailed minute-by-minute data is better than 24 hour averages with no modeling of thermal mass. But if you are not going to model thermal mass, it would actually better to average the temperature over at least some number of hours than to compute it on a minutely basis.

    It turns out that the number of hours you would ideally average over is longer if you have more insulation. So that's another reason (in addition to the effect on base temperature, to be covered in the next installment) that the amount of insulation reduces the effective number of degree days as well as reducing the U factor.

  2. user-984364 | | #2

    About that spreadsheet...
    Apparently my house is an energy hog. ;) But in an article about HDD, the spreadsheet doesn't take into account ... HDD! Rather than kWh/ft^2, shouldn't it be kWh/ft^2/(HDD+CDD) or something?
    I don't want to be an energy hog just because I live in Minnesota, I'm doing the best I can. ;)
    FWIW I'm at about 19kWh/ft^2, but about 2.18 Wh/ft^2/HDD - had to drop the 'k' after dividing by HDD. Maybe a better unit is BTUs: I'm at 7.45 BTU/ft^2/HDD for last year.
    At least as reported in "Distribution of Single Family Homes in the Northeast, Midwest, and West Census Regions using Propane or Natural Gas as the Primary Space Heating Fuel in 1997" in a Home Energy magazine, I'm at least in the better "half" of homes.

    Anyway, what do you think about updating your spreadsheet to normalize for local climate?

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