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Green Building News

State Renewable Energy Goals Fall Short, Analysis Finds

More than half the states set renewable energy goals, but many allow dirty sources of power

Methane from farm animals that is burned to produce electricity is counted toward renewable energy goals in a number of states. (Photo: U.S. Department of Agriculture)

More than half of all U.S. states have adopted renewable energy goals, but many allow dirty sources of power to be counted and efforts overall are currently too weak to prevent “potentially irreversible” climate change, a new report from Food & Water Watch says.

The Washington, D.C., based advocacy group examined the regulatory fine print of renewable portfolio standards (RPS) in 29 states and the District of Columbia and concluded that only a handful merited a C or higher grade. Many others earned Ds, while seven flunked. Twenty-one states have no RPS programs at all. Hawaii and Vermont earned the highest grades, a B- and C+ respectively.

Food & Water Watch used three metrics in assessing RPS programs for its report, Cleanwashing: How States Count Polluting Energy Sources as Renewable:

  • Whether the programs included a target of 100% renewable energy.
  • Whether programs allowed six “dirty energy” sources or the use of renewable energy credits.
  • Whether the states were likely to produce 100% of their electricity from wind, solar, and geothermal sources by 2038, the time frame that will be necessary to “stop the worst and potentially irreversible effects of climate change.”

Adoption of renewable portfolio standards has come in fits and starts, and program requirements vary considerably from state to state. Iowa was the first state in the country to adopt a RPS in 1983 when it passed legislation requiring investor-owned utilities to buy 105 megawatts of renewable energy. It wasn’t until 1997 that other states began to follow suit, with most coming onboard in the 2000s.

The targeted percentage of electricity coming from renewable sources runs from a low of 0.5% in Iowa to a high of 100% in Hawaii. The mean goal is 25% renewable energy by 2025. Almost all states are currently meeting their renewable energy goals, the report says, which suggests that the targets aren’t ambitious enough.

In the end, the report says, not nearly enough is being done. Fossil fuels still provide the bulk of electricity in the U.S., accounting for more than two thirds of all utility-scale power in 2016, with 8% coming from wind, solar, and geothermal sources.

“Only a handful of states were projected to generate or supply the majority of their electricity from wind, solar, and geothermal sources by 2038; less than half would generate even 25% of their electricity from these sources by 2038,” the report says. “Almost all states failed to measure up to each of these metrics.”

Counting ‘dirty’ sources of electricity

A major sticking point was the amount of electricity that state programs allow from seven energy sources that add to greenhouse gas emissions and other forms of pollution. The seven sources are: “clean” coal; nuclear; wood; municipal waste incineration; methane from landfills, sewage treatment plants and factory farms; and paper mill residue. In addition, Food & Water Watch cited renewable energy credits, a “flawed policy” that allows utilities to buy renewable energy from outside sources rather than produce it themselves.

The average state program allows four of the seven, with waste methane and wood-burning energy plants the most common. Burning municipal garbage to make electricity is allowed in more than one-third of all state programs, and two states permit poultry litter incineration. The report notes that in 2014, about 66 billion pounds of garbage was burned nationally to produce electricity, even though the New York Department of Environmental Conservation found that incinerators produce almost 14 times the mercury per megawatt as do coal-fired plants.

Maryland and North Carolina allow poultry litter to be burned for electricity, although these incinerators can emit more carbon dioxide, particulates, and other pollutants per megawatt than new coal plants.

Waste methane was another target. The report says that every RPS it looked at allowed methane from landfills and sewage plants to be counted toward renewable energy targets, with 25 states allowing methane from animal waste.

“This group of gases — from animal waste, manure digesters, landfills, and municipal landfills — is often referred to as biogas,” the report says. “Biogas is primarily methane and is essentially indistinguishable from fracked natural gas, with many of the same problems. Burning biogas releases greenhouse gases such as CO2 and harmful pollutants like NOx.”

Likewise, wood-burning energy plants are routinely accepted as renewable energy sources, although processing, transporting, and burning this fuel results in greenhouse gas emissions that can be greater than coal-fired power plants. The practice also results in unhealthy forestry practices, according to the analysis.

Too little wind, solar, and geothermal

The analysis argues that states are not adopting wind, solar, and geothermal quickly enough, and none is on track to produce 100% of its electricity from these clean sources by 2038.

For example, Connecticut’s RPS target year is 2030, when it should be getting 48% of its energy from renewable sources. But only 1% of that is expected to come from wind, solar, and geothermal sources, and only 2% of its electricity is projected to come from those sources by 2038. Those stats earned the state an F in this category.

Less than one-third of all RPS programs can be expected to meet their goals with wind, solar, and geothermal alone, the report says.

The group made a number of recommendations, including a pitch to the 21 states without RPS programs to adopt one. The report also urges RPS plans to aim for 100% renewable energy “within a short time horizon,” and suggests that states with renewable portfolios eliminate dirty sources of electricity.

“All state RPS programs need to be strengthened to raise the target goal, expel dirty energy sources, and eliminate renewable energy credits to ensure that the policies can promote a swift transition to genuine renewable energy,” Food & Water Watch said.

7 Comments

  1. User avater
    Geir Gaseidnes | | #1

    This report seems to largely leave out hydro, which seems like a big blind spot. 1/3 of Maine's electric generation, for example, comes from hydro plants...

  2. Jon R | | #2

    I think this is a case of words (like RPS) distorting the real goal. I'm far more concerned with clean energy than renewable energy.

  3. User avater
    Dana Dorsett | | #3

    Goals & targets aside, the offshore wind industry in New England looks like it's ready to go into hyperdrive over the next decade. This is just the frost on the emerging tip of the iceberg:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/record-breaking-405m-offshore-wind-us-leasing-auction-shows-bullish-inte/544465/

    The available wind resource near population centers off NJ is looking pretty attractive to international developers too.

    Now that gub'na LePage is history the pent up demand for long-blocked onshore wind in Maine should be able to get going in the next year or two too, along with faster roll out of behind-the-meter distributed PV.

    NH & MA are also working out policy on distributed storage (large & small) to help manage it all.

    Right now utility scale PV is cheaper on an unsubsidized levelized cost basis than just the operating & fuel cost of existing coal & nuclear plants in the sunny southwest, and already competing with natural gas too (even at near record low gas contract pricing.) At the learning curve of solar that threshold will likely be crossed in the less-sunny northeast too, beyond which the whole notion of RPS will start to look a bit quaint. Even without the externalities priced-in to the fuels, new wind & solar will be cheaper than legacy generation methods sooner than most of us think. No analysts were predicting 2.5 cent/kwh contract pricing for utility scale PV before 2025, but that's the price to beat in Texas right now:

    https://www.utilitydive.com/news/texas-muni-signs-cheap-solar-contract-below-25mwh/544509/

    1. User avater
      Stephen Sheehy | | #4

      The offshore wind winning bids were about four times higher per acre than the latest oil/ gas auctions in the Gulf of Mexico.

  4. Doug McEvers | | #5

    We must once again think about heating with electricity. When I drive I-94 from Minneapolis to our farm in the southern Red River Valley I see several large scale solar farms and (2) 50 turbine wind farms. There is also a very substantial new power transmission line running next to the I-94 that goes from ND to Monticello, MN. Only half of the line is strung so more capacity is available. This extra capacity will be used for the wind generation that is coming online.

    Energy efficient building envelopes have a good return on investment when the heating fuel is $3.00 heating oil, $2.00 propane or .12 kWh electricity. Off peak thermal storage and the more efficient air source heat pumps will help the move towards clean space heating.

    Utilities are offering incentives for off-peak space heating.

    https://www.lrec.coop/products-service/off-peak-space-heating

    1. User avater
      Dana Dorsett | | #6

      An electric boiler using off-peak only electricity (or under grid operator control, compensated for the ancillary grid services it can provide) and a mini-split can do quite a lot for peak managment and integration of variable output renewable energy.

      PV may eventually reach the price point where even the heat pump leverage becomes less important. Just last week a utility in Texas just signed a long term power purchase agreement with a large scale PV developer for $25/Mwh (2.5 cents/kwh), which is cheaper than the fuel, operating & maintenance costs of some existing combined cycle gas plants. Residential scale PV still has a substantially higher levelized cost than that, but in most cases it's not an order of magnitude more.

  5. Jon R | | #7

    I'd like to think that heat pumps combined with thermal storage (eg, water tanks) will move almost all space heat/cooling and domestic hot water to daily off peak times. Perhaps even stretching to several days.

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