In my book, corn-based ethanol as a vehicle fuel has never been a good idea. But an in-depth investigation by Dina Cappiello and Matt Apuzzo of The Associated Press, published last week, outlines a lot of other reasons why we should finally kill this particular farm subsidy.
Before explaining why corn-based ethanol production is a bad idea, it’s worth noting why we’ve been promoting it. The U.S. is one of the most agriculturally rich nations in the world, and we’re also one of the world’s largest fossil fuel importers. It makes sense on some levels to convert some motor fuel to bio-based sources, such as ethanol and biodiesel — because we can produce it ourselves, helping to wean our dependence on oil from the Middle East and other politically unstable or unfriendly places.
Also, in theory, biofuels should help to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, since the raw materials (corn in the case of ethanol) is produced, in part, using solar energy via photosynthesis. The Obama Administration, like the George W. Bush Administration before, touted ethanol as a strategy for reducing our nation’s greenhouse gas emissions.
Energy return on investment
I’ve written here in the past about the energy return on investment (EROI) with ethanol. Depending on whose study you believe, it either takes a little more or a little less energy to produce corn-based ethanol than that end-product contains. That EROI ratio ranges from 0.8:1 to 1.5:1, depending on the study.
Any time the EROI is less than 1:1, it takes more energy to produce the fuel than the fuel contains. Even giving the ethanol industry the benefit of the doubt by assuming the actual EROI is 1.5:1, that means to produce a gallon of the fuel takes two-thirds of a gallon (equivalent) of fuel — diesel for tractors and combines on the farm, natural gas to produce nitrogen fertilizer, natural gas and electricity at the ethanol plant, and energy to ship that fuel around the country.
By comparison, the ethanol produced from sugar cane in Brazil has an EROI closer to 8:1 — for every gallon (equivalent) invested you get about eight gallons back out.
No matter whose numbers you believe, from an energy standpoint turning corn into ethanol to fuel our cars makes little sense.
Land conversion to corn production
Even more troubling than the dubious energy balance of ethanol is the land conversions that have occurred as demand for corn has increased in recent years. Just since 2008, according to the AP investigation, more than 5 million acres of land that had been set aside as part of the Conservation Reserve Program have been converted to corn production — an area greater than Yellowstone, Yosemite, and the Everglades National Parks combined.
Since 2006, some 1.2 million acres in Nebraska and the Dakotas that had never been tilled have been converted to corn and soybean production. This is even worse than converting conservation acreage into tilled farmland — since much of the conservation land had once been tilled. When virgin prairie is converted to farmland, along with losing the biodiversity on that land, a significant amount of carbon that was stored as organic matter in the soil is released into the atmosphere — contributing to greenhouse gas emissions.
Increased fertilizer use
The dramatic increase in corn production in recent years has also dramatically increased fertilizer use. Between 2005 and 2010, according to the AP investigation, nitrogen fertilizer use increased by 1 billion pounds, with another billion-pound increase likely having occurred since 2010.
Along with requiring a lot of natural gas to produce all that fertilizer, the runoff from that farmland is a huge pollution problem and contributes directly to the “dead zone” that occurs each year in the Gulf of Mexico.
Corn for energy vs. food
As demand for corn increased to meet increasing mandates for ethanol in U.S. gasoline, the price of corn increased (commodity pricing is driven by supply and demand). In our increasingly global markets, this affected food prices in developing countries that rely heavily on corn. Corn prices climbed to $7 per bushel in the U.S., double what they had been a few years earlier, and this dramatically increased food prices in Mexico, leading in some places to food riots.
Prices of corn have since dropped somewhat and record harvests are expected this year, but prices are still above where they were ten years ago.
Reevaluating our ethanol policy
The AP report came out just as the Obama Administration is reconsidering the ethanol mandates that have fueled the dramatic increase in corn production. The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency has proposed scaling back on the biofuel mandates in the Renewable Fuel Standard. Legislation passed in 2007 called for increasing the production of biofuels each year, with production reaching 16.55 billion gallons this year (2013) and rising to 36 billion gallons by 2022.
But when that legislation was passed, the consumption of gasoline was expected to continue rising, so the quota could have been achieved without increasing the percentage of ethanol in gasoline beyond the 10% that car makers are comfortable with. More ethanol in gasoline can cause corrosion in engines. With cars and light trucks becoming more fuel efficient, the numbers weren’t working.
EPA has proposed scaling back the ethanol mandate in 2014 to 15.21 billion gallons, down 14% from where it would be under the Renewable Fuel Standard — and just under 10% of the motor fuel sold in the country. An unusual coalition of oil companies and environmentalists is proposing going further and eliminating the biofuel mandates altogether.
The road ahead
I, like many others, have been hoping that “cellulostic ethanol” (made from agricultural residue like corn stalks rather than high-value corn) would advance more quickly than it has. So, along with proposing a reduction in the overall biofuel mandate, EPA last week proposed cutting the target for so-called “advanced biofuels” from 2.75 billion gallons this year to 2.2 billion gallons next year.
In the coming weeks, during the 50-day comment period for the new EPA rules, expect to see a barrage of dueling television ads on this issue.
Alex is founder of BuildingGreen, Inc. and executive editor of Environmental Building News. In 2012 he founded the Resilient Design Institute. To keep up with Alex’s latest articles and musings, you can sign up for his Twitter feed.